Chelsea Chandler vs Kate Bacik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record8-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach69"
137 lbsWeight130 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chelsea ChandlerKate Bacik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chelsea Chandler56%
Kate Bacik 44%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Chandler a 56% favorite over Kate Bacik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kate Bacik's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1592), separated by just 8 points.
Kate Bacik enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chelsea Chandler finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Kate Bacik 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.