Chelsea Chandler vs Leslie Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-4-0Record12-9-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68"Reach66,0"
137 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chelsea ChandlerLeslie Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chelsea Chandler63%
Leslie Smith 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Chandler a 63% favorite over Leslie Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leslie Smith's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1588), separated by just 4 points.
Chelsea Chandler finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Leslie Smith 42%.
Chelsea Chandler carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.