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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chelsea Chandler vs Mafalda Carmona

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record8-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
68"Reach64.2"
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamBulgarian Top Team· 1645 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chelsea ChandlerNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Mafalda CarmonaNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.52
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.27
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
40%
Strike defense
Not available
0.81
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
25%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.27
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chelsea ChandlerMafalda Carmona
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (13%)
3 (43%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Chelsea Chandler63%
Mafalda Carmona 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Chandler a 63% favorite over Mafalda Carmona in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1581), separated by just 3 points.

Chelsea Chandler finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mafalda Carmona 63%.

Chelsea Chandler carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.