Combat Edge Intelligence

Chelsea Hackett vs Roxanne Modafferi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-1Record25-20-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Potential Unlimited Mixed Martial ArtsTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chelsea HackettNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
Roxanne ModafferiNow 1559
If they win+12→ 1571
If they lose-12→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.58
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
51%
Strike accuracy
31%
4.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.70
47%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
1.35
TBD
Takedown accuracy
23%
57%
Takedown defense
30%
0
Submission avg.
0.08

Trajectory

Chelsea HackettRoxanne Modafferi
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (16%)
1 (20%)
Submission
5 (20%)
3 (60%)
Decision
16 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Chelsea Hackett70%
Roxanne Modafferi 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Hackett a 70% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1559), separated by just 1 points.

Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chelsea Hackett finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.