Chepe Mariscal vs Damon Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record23-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
69″Reach 71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Chepe Mariscal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Damon Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1711
If they lose-13→ 1687
If they win+13→ 1690
If they lose-11→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chepe MariscalDamon Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chepe Mariscal71%
Damon Jackson 29%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Chepe Mariscal a 71% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Chepe Mariscal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1677, a 23-point edge.
Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chepe Mariscal finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Damon Jackson 83%.
Chepe Mariscal and Damon Jackson share 1 common opponent: Pat Sabatini.
Damon Jackson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.