Combat Edge Intelligence

Chepe Mariscal vs Dan Ige

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Ige
us

Dan Ige

“50K”

19-11-0WelterweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record19-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69″Reach71''
145 lbsWeight165 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chepe MariscalNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Dan IgeNow 1696
If they win+12→ 1708
If they lose-12→ 1684

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.95
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
56%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.56
52%
Strike defense
56%
2.85
Takedown avg.
0.93
39%
Takedown accuracy
3%
73%
Takedown defense
56%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Chepe MariscalDan Ige
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
3 (17%)
Submission
5 (26%)
8 (44%)
Decision
7 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Chepe Mariscal57%
Dan Ige 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chepe Mariscal a 57% favorite over Dan Ige in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1696), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Ige enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chepe Mariscal finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Dan Ige 63%.

Chepe Mariscal and Dan Ige share 1 common opponent: Damon Jackson.

Dan Ige carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Damon Jackson
WinKO/TKO · 2023