Chepe Mariscal vs Morgan Charrière
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record21-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69″Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamTeam Chapa Quente
What's at stake
Chepe Mariscal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Morgan Charrière carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1708
If they lose-14→ 1684
If they win+14→ 1649
If they lose-10→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chepe MariscalMorgan Charrière
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chepe Mariscal57%
Morgan Charrière 43%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Chepe Mariscal a 57% favorite over Morgan Charrière in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Chepe Mariscal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1635, a 63-point edge.
Morgan Charrière enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chepe Mariscal finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Morgan Charrière 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.