Chepe Mariscal vs Pat Sabatini
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-7-0Record22-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69″Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamRenzo Gracie Philly
What's at stake
Pat Sabatini is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chepe Mariscal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1714
If they lose-10→ 1690
If they win+10→ 1772
If they lose-14→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chepe MariscalPat Sabatini
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pat Sabatini70%
Chepe Mariscal 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Pat Sabatini a 70% favorite over Chepe Mariscal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Pat Sabatini holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1700, a 62-point edge.
Pat Sabatini enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chepe Mariscal finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Pat Sabatini 64%.
Chepe Mariscal and Pat Sabatini share 1 common opponent: Damon Jackson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.