Combat Edge Intelligence

Chepe Mariscal vs Wagnney Fabiano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-0Record16-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69″ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chepe MariscalNow 1700
If they win+12→ 1712
If they lose-12→ 1688
Wagnney FabianoNow 1699
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-16→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1620 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.95
Sig. strikes / min
1.19
56%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.66
52%
Strike defense
70%
2.85
Takedown avg.
3.44
39%
Takedown accuracy
64%
73%
Takedown defense
100%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Chepe MariscalWagnney Fabiano
165017002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (17%)
Submission
9 (56%)
8 (44%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Chepe Mariscal70%
Wagnney Fabiano 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chepe Mariscal a 70% favorite over Wagnney Fabiano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1700 vs 1699), separated by just 1 points.

Chepe Mariscal finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Wagnney Fabiano 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.