Combat Edge Intelligence

Chersi Dudaev vs Jared Cannonier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record18-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach 77"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chersi DudaevNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Jared CannonierNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.42
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.35
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.54
TBD
Takedown accuracy
4%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chersi DudaevJared Cannonier
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
11 (61%)
8 (44%)
Submission
2 (11%)
8 (44%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chersi Dudaev and Jared Cannonier within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1693), separated by just 0 points.

Jared Cannonier enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chersi Dudaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jared Cannonier 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.