Chidi Njokuani vs Geoff Neal
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-12-0Record16-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
One Kick's GymTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Chidi Njokuani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Geoff Neal carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1720
If they lose-13→ 1696
If they win+17→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chidi NjokuaniGeoff Neal
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chidi Njokuani71%
Geoff Neal 29%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chidi Njokuani a 71% favorite over Geoff Neal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Chidi Njokuani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1693, a 16-point edge.
Geoff Neal enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chidi Njokuani finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Geoff Neal 75%.
Chidi Njokuani carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.