Geoff Neal vs Chidi Njokuani

Aug 15, 2026 · PARAMOUNT+

Combat Edge model forecast46%Geoff Neal54%Chidi NjokuaniFull forecast

DateAug 15, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueXfinity Mobile Arena

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, August 15, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sun 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sun 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 AM
Your time

Geoff NealHandz of Steel |16-8-0Geoff Neal vs Chidi NjokuaniChidi NjokuaniChidi Bang Bang |26-12-0

Geoff NealHandz of Steel16-8-0

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

16-8-0Record26-12-0

36Age37

5'11"Height6'3"

75"Reach80"

170 lbsWeight170 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Chidi NjokuaniChidi Bang Bang26-12-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Chidi Njokuani owns a 17-point Elo edge (good). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Geoff Neal and Chidi Njokuani across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Geoff NealChidi Njokuani

Recent form

Geoff NealL L W L L · -46 Elo last 5

LLWLL

Chidi NjokuaniW L L W W · +14 Elo last 5

WLLWW

Elo edge

Geoff Neal1693-21 last move

Chidi Njokuani1710+14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Geoff Neal#78 of 332 active Welterweight fighters · 1693 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Rafael dos Anjos (rated 1728 at the time): +21.
Costliest loss: Lost to Uros Medic (rated 1687 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -46 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #77 Punahele Soriano, 2 ahead of #79 Levan Chokheli.

Chidi Njokuani#62 of 332 active Welterweight fighters · 1710 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Duško Todorović (rated 1653 at the time): +16.
Costliest loss: Lost to Gregory Rodrigues (rated 1678 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +14 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #61 Kevin Lee, 0 ahead of #63 Ignacio Bahamondes.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.5-2026-07-01

46%Geoff Neal54%Chidi Njokuani

Model favoriteChidi Njokuani

Elo baseline51% for Chidi Njokuani

Matchup adjustment+3 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Chidi NjokuaniStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Chidi Njokuani leads the full model at 54%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 3 points.

Current Elo ratings1693 · 1710Chidi Njokuani leads by 17 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1744 · 1695Geoff Neal faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth24 · 34 fightsChidi Njokuani has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesGeoff Neal 2 · 2 Chidi NjokuaniStrongest available gap: Takedown average toward Geoff Neal.

What's at stake

Geoff NealNow 1693 · #78 Welterweight

Wins by decision+17→ 1710

Loses by decision-15→ 1678

Chidi NjokuaniNow 1710 · #62 Welterweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1721

Loses by decision-13→ 1697

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Geoff NealvsChidi Njokuani

Takedown average

0.54vs0

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

5.50vs3.32

Sig. strike accuracy

51%vs62%

Takedown defense

88%vs76%

Finishing profile

Geoff NealKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Chidi NjokuaniKO/TKO leads 58% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Geoff NealChidi Njokuani

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.02Sig. strikes landed per min5.16

UFC welterweight average : 3.66

51Sig. strike accuracy62

UFC welterweight average : 46%

5.50Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.32

UFC welterweight average : 3.86

57Sig. strike defense58

UFC welterweight average : 53%

0.54Takedown average0

UFC welterweight average : 1.41

0Takedown accuracy0

UFC welterweight average : 30%

88Takedown defense76

UFC welterweight average : 59%

0.11Submission average0.14

UFC welterweight average : 0.54

10Wins by knockout15

2Wins by submission1

4Wins by decision10

3Losses by knockout5

2Losses by submission4

3Losses by decision3

Geoff Neal vs Chidi Njokuani is a scheduled Fight card fight on UFC 330 : MAKHACHEV VS MACHADO GARRY. Geoff Neal enters with a 16-8-0 record and Chidi Njokuani enters with a 26-12-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.