Chris Barnett vs Gian Villante
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record17-14-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'2"
75"Reach76"
268 lbsWeight261 lbs
XFCTeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Chris Barnett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Gian Villante carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1643
If they lose-14→ 1619
If they win+14→ 1595
If they lose-10→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris BarnettGian Villante
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Barnett66%
Gian Villante 34%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Barnett a 66% favorite over Gian Villante in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Chris Barnett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1633 to 1581, a 52-point edge.
Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Barnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Gian Villante 71%.
Chris Barnett and Gian Villante share 1 common opponent: Jake Collier.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.