Chris Barnett vs Mario Piazzon
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Chris Barnett52%
Mario Piazzon 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Barnett a 52% favorite over Mario Piazzon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1632 vs 1630), separated by just 2 points.
Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Barnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mario Piazzon 82%.
Chris Barnett carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record12-2-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height5'11"
75"Reach73"
268 lbsWeight265 lbs
XFCTeamGalpao da Luta· 1674 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1644
If they lose-12→ 1620
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris BarnettMario Piazzon