Chris Barnett vs Martin Buday
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record16-4-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'5"
75"Reach77"
268 lbsWeight265 lbs
XFCTeamSpartakus Fight Gym
What's at stake
Martin Buday is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Chris Barnett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1647
If they lose-10→ 1623
If they win+13→ 1713
If they lose-19→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris BarnettMartin Buday
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Buday73%
Chris Barnett 27%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 73% favorite over Chris Barnett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Martin Buday holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1633, a 67-point edge.
Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Barnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.
Chris Barnett and Martin Buday share 1 common opponent: Jake Collier.
Martin Buday carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.