Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-13-0Record16-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamUluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CurtisMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Curtis54%
Myktybek Orolbai 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Curtis a 54% favorite over Myktybek Orolbai in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1714), separated by just 6 points.
Chris Curtis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Chris Curtis and Myktybek Orolbai share 1 common opponent: Jack Hermansson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.