Chris Curtis vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-13-0Record16-2-1
MiddleweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
75"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight155 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamUluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-17→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris CurtisMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai64%
Chris Curtis 36%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 64% favorite over Chris Curtis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1730), separated by just 11 points.
Myktybek Orolbai enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chris Curtis finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Chris Curtis and Myktybek Orolbai share 1 common opponent: Jack Hermansson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.