Chris de la Rocha vs Jake Collier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
80,0"Reach78"
243 lbsWeight257 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamPit MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-16→ 1533
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris de la RochaJake Collier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Collier60%
Chris de la Rocha 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Collier a 60% favorite over Chris de la Rocha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris de la Rocha's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1549), separated by just 3 points.
Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.
Chris de la Rocha carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.