Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris de la Rocha vs Jake Collier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jake Collier
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Jake Collier

“The Prototype”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1548Average

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
80,0"Reach78"
243 lbsWeight257 lbs
Forge Combat AcademyTeamPit MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris de la RochaNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528
Jake CollierNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.08
Sig. strikes / min
5.80
46%
Strike accuracy
44%
6.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.08
44%
Strike defense
51%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0.71
31%
Takedown accuracy
33%
33%
Takedown defense
68%
1.01
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Chris de la RochaJake Collier
15501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
2 (40%)
Submission
4 (29%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris de la Rocha57%
Jake Collier 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris de la Rocha a 57% favorite over Jake Collier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1552 vs 1548), separated by just 4 points.

Chris de la Rocha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jake Collier 71%.

Chris de la Rocha carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.