Chris Duncan vs Jordan Vucenic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record16-4-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
71"Reach73''
155 lbsWeight146 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBlood, Sweat and Tears
What's at stake
Chris Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Jordan Vucenic carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1739
If they lose-17→ 1707
If they win+17→ 1710
If they lose-15→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris DuncanJordan Vucenic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Duncan59%
Jordan Vucenic 41%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Duncan a 59% favorite over Jordan Vucenic in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Chris Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1693, a 31-point edge.
Jordan Vucenic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Chris Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Vucenic 63%.
Jordan Vucenic carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.