Chris Duncan vs Manuel Torres
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEntram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1739
If they lose-17→ 1707
If they win+17→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris DuncanManuel Torres
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manuel Torres53%
Chris Duncan 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Torres a 53% favorite over Chris Duncan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Duncan's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1712), separated by just 12 points.
Chris Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Torres 94%.
Manuel Torres carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.