Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Duncan vs Manuel Torres

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chris Duncan

Chris Duncan

“The Problem”

15-3-0LightweightUFC

1722Good

Tale of the tape

15-3-0Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris DuncanNow 1722
If they win+15→ 1737
If they lose-17→ 1705
Manuel TorresNow 1711
If they win+17→ 1728
If they lose-15→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.02
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
46%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
51%
Strike defense
54%
3.27
Takedown avg.
1.72
43%
Takedown accuracy
67%
50%
Takedown defense
91%
0.65
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Chris DuncanManuel Torres
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
4 (27%)
Submission
7 (41%)
4 (27%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Duncan and Manuel Torres within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1722 vs 1711), separated by just 11 points.

Chris Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Torres 94%.

Manuel Torres carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.