Chris Duncan vs Terrance McKinney
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters → 
Tale of the tape
15-3-0 Record 18-8-0
Lightweight Division Lightweight
6'0" Height 5'10"
71" Reach 73"
155 lbs Weight 155 lbs
American Top Team Team Warrior Camp
What's at stake
Chris Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Terrance McKinney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1736
If they lose-18→ 1704
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-10→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris Duncan Terrance McKinney
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Duncan and Terrance McKinney within a point of even.
Chris Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1722 to 1674, a 48-point edge.
Chris Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.
Terrance McKinney carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.