Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Gutierrez vs Cody Durden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-11-1FlyweightUFC

1624Solid

Tale of the tape

22-5-2Record18-11-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

Chris Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris GutierrezNow 1749
If they win+8→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1733
Cody DurdenNow 1624
If they win+16→ 1640
If they lose-8→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
59%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
63%
Strike defense
51%
0.24
Takedown avg.
3.99
25%
Takedown accuracy
10%
70%
Takedown defense
57%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Chris GutierrezCody Durden
1650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (33%)
12 (55%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Gutierrez70%
Cody Durden 30%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gutierrez a 70% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Chris Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1624, a 125-point edge.

Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Cody Durden 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.