Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Gutierrez vs Felipe Colares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-2Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
67"Reach69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

Chris Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Felipe Colares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris GutierrezNow 1749
If they win+8→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1733
Felipe ColaresNow 1617
If they win+22→ 1639
If they lose-10→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
2.17
59%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.65
63%
Strike defense
37%
0.24
Takedown avg.
1.88
25%
Takedown accuracy
24%
70%
Takedown defense
43%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.51

Trajectory

Chris GutierrezFelipe Colares
16001650170017502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (55%)
12 (55%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Gutierrez66%
Felipe Colares 34%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gutierrez a 66% favorite over Felipe Colares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Chris Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1617, a 132-point edge.

Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Colares 73%.

Felipe Colares carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.