Chris Gutierrez vs Frankie Edgar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-2Record24-11-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach 68"
136 lbsWeight136 lbs
Factory XTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Chris Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1759
If they lose-14→ 1735
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-10→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris GutierrezFrankie Edgar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Gutierrez83%
Frankie Edgar 17%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gutierrez a 83% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Chris Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1692, a 57-point edge.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Edgar 46%.
Chris Gutierrez and Frankie Edgar share 1 common opponent: Pedro Munhoz.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.