Chris Gutierrez vs Geraldo de Freitas Jr.
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-2Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach39,0"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory X· 1663 avg Elo · 17 ratedTeamNova Uniao· 1649 avg Elo · 17 rated
What's at stake
Chris Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Geraldo de Freitas Jr. carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1733
If they win+22→ 1635
If they lose-10→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris GutierrezGeraldo de Freitas Jr.
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Gutierrez73%
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 27%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gutierrez a 73% favorite over Geraldo de Freitas Jr. in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Chris Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1613, a 136-point edge.
Geraldo de Freitas Jr. enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Geraldo de Freitas Jr. 79%.
Chris Gutierrez and Geraldo de Freitas Jr. share 1 common opponent: Felipe Colares.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.