Chris Gutierrez vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-5-2Record21-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach71"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeamThe Academy
What's at stake
Chris Gutierrez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — John Castañeda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1759
If they lose-14→ 1735
If they win+14→ 1698
If they lose-10→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris GutierrezJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Gutierrez55%
John Castañeda 45%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gutierrez a 55% favorite over John Castañeda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Chris Gutierrez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1684, a 65-point edge.
Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
Chris Gutierrez and John Castañeda share 1 common opponent: Alatengheili.
John Castañeda carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.