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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Gutierrez vs Raoni Barcelos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

22-5-2Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris GutierrezNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Raoni BarcelosNow 1759
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1686 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
59%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
63%
Strike defense
61%
0.24
Takedown avg.
2.51
25%
Takedown accuracy
3%
70%
Takedown defense
88%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Chris GutierrezRaoni Barcelos
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (14%)
12 (55%)
Decision
11 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Gutierrez57%
Raoni Barcelos 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Gutierrez a 57% favorite over Raoni Barcelos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Raoni Barcelos's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1759), separated by just 10 points.

Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.