Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Gutierrez vs Sarvarjon Khamidov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-5-2Record17-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Factory XTeam55 Spirit Dushanbe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris GutierrezNow 1749
If they win+12→ 1761
If they lose-12→ 1737
Sarvarjon KhamidovNow 1752
If they win+16→ 1768
If they lose-16→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1687 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.59
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
63%
Strike defense
TBD
0.24
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
70%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.08
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris GutierrezSarvarjon Khamidov
17502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (41%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
1 (5%)
Submission
5 (29%)
12 (55%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Sarvarjon Khamidov83%
Chris Gutierrez 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sarvarjon Khamidov a 83% favorite over Chris Gutierrez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1749 vs 1752), separated by just 3 points.

Chris Gutierrez finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Sarvarjon Khamidov 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.