Chris Hofmann vs Felipe Froes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record27-12-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
171 lbsWeight158 lbs
Deftac PhilippinesTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-17→ 1614
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris HofmannFelipe Froes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Froes60%
Chris Hofmann 40%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Froes a 60% favorite over Chris Hofmann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Hofmann's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1620), separated by just 11 points.
Chris Hofmann finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Felipe Froes 52%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.