Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Hofmann vs Gary Balletto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Deftac PhilippinesTeamTri-Force MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris HofmannNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Gary BallettoNow 1633
If they win+16→ 1649
If they lose-16→ 1617

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
36%
Strike defense
TBD
3.42
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris HofmannGary Balletto
1600165020242025

Win method breakdown

9 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
0 (0%)
Submission
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gary Balletto53%
Chris Hofmann 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gary Balletto a 53% favorite over Chris Hofmann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1633), separated by just 2 points.

Gary Balletto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Chris Hofmann finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gary Balletto 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.