Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Hofmann vs Khamzat Abaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach71"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Deftac PhilippinesTeamTeam Terranova ASBL

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris HofmannNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Khamzat AbaevNow 1631
If they win+24→ 1655
If they lose-24→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.78
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
36%
Strike defense
TBD
3.42
Takedown avg.
TBD
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris HofmannKhamzat Abaev
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Khamzat Abaev63%
Chris Hofmann 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Abaev a 63% favorite over Chris Hofmann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Hofmann's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1631), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Hofmann finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Abaev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.