Chris Holdsworth vs Luis Gurule
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'11"Height5'5"
71,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1668
If they lose-24→ 1620
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris HoldsworthLuis Gurule
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Gurule62%
Chris Holdsworth 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 62% favorite over Chris Holdsworth in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Holdsworth's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1642), separated by just 2 points.
Chris Holdsworth enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Chris Holdsworth finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.
Chris Holdsworth carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.