Chris Lytle vs Jonathan Micallef
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-18-5Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Integrated Fighting AcademyTeamCombat 1 MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris LytleJonathan Micallef
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Micallef72%
Chris Lytle 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Micallef a 72% favorite over Chris Lytle in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Lytle's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1703), separated by just 3 points.
Jonathan Micallef enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Chris Lytle finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Micallef 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.