Chris Mecate vs Fabacary Diatta
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Chris Mecate55%
Fabacary Diatta 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Mecate a 55% favorite over Fabacary Diatta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1663), separated by just 0 points.
Chris Mecate finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Fabacary Diatta 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record10-1-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70" Reach70.5"
150 lbsWeight144 lbs
Miura BJJTeamAtch Academy· 1627 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris MecateFabacary Diatta