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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Padilla vs Des Green

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Des Green
us

Des Green

“The Predator”

24-8-0LightweightCZMMA

1722Good

Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris PadillaNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-12→ 1712
Des GreenNow 1722
If they win+12→ 1734
If they lose-12→ 1710

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.19
Sig. strikes / min
3.70
54%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.51
49%
Strike defense
69%
1.13
Takedown avg.
1.62
21%
Takedown accuracy
50%
80%
Takedown defense
75%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chris PadillaDes Green
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
6 (33%)
Submission
1 (4%)
3 (17%)
Decision
16 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Padilla51%
Des Green 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Padilla a 51% favorite over Des Green in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1722), separated by just 2 points.

Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Des Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Chris Padilla finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Des Green 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.