Chris Padilla vs Gadzhi Rabadanov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record28-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAbdulmanap Nurmagomedov School· 1732 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Gadzhi Rabadanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chris Padilla carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1738
If they lose-10→ 1714
If they win+10→ 1795
If they lose-14→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaGadzhi Rabadanov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov53%
Chris Padilla 47%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 53% favorite over Chris Padilla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Gadzhi Rabadanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1785 to 1724, a 61-point edge.
Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Gadzhi Rabadanov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chris Padilla finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gadzhi Rabadanov 57%.
Chris Padilla carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.