Chris Padilla vs James Llontop
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-6-1Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
California Mixed Martial ArtsTeamTeam FFC
What's at stake
Chris Padilla is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — James Llontop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1716
If they lose-19→ 1684
If they win+19→ 1650
If they lose-13→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaJames Llontop
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Padilla73%
James Llontop 27%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Padilla a 73% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Chris Padilla holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1703 to 1631, a 72-point edge.
Chris Padilla enters on a 8-fight win streak.
James Llontop enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chris Padilla finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.