Chris Padilla vs James Llontop
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record19-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1673 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam FFC
What's at stake
Chris Padilla is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — James Llontop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1707
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-8→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaJames Llontop
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Padilla64%
James Llontop 36%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Padilla a 64% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Chris Padilla holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1614, a 109-point edge.
Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Chris Padilla finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.