Chris Padilla vs James Llontop
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"Reach73″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam FFC
What's at stake
Chris Padilla is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — James Llontop carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1708
If they win+21→ 1636
If they lose-11→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1632 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris PadillaJames Llontop
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Padilla79%
James Llontop 21%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Padilla a 79% favorite over James Llontop in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Chris Padilla holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1615, a 109-point edge.
Chris Padilla enters on a 9-fight win streak.
James Llontop enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Padilla finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, James Llontop 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.