Chris Weidman vs Khamzat Chimaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
78"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1768 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1647 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Khamzat Chimaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Weidman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1694
If they win+11→ 1839
If they lose-21→ 1807
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1734 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris WeidmanKhamzat Chimaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khamzat Chimaev85%
Chris Weidman 15%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Khamzat Chimaev a 85% favorite over Chris Weidman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Khamzat Chimaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1828 to 1705, a 123-point edge.
Chris Weidman finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.
Chris Weidman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.