Khamzat Chimaev vs Chris Weidman

Nov 14, 2026 · Fox Nation

Combat Edge model forecast93%Khamzat Chimaev7%Chris WeidmanFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 14, 2026

DivisionFight card

StatusScheduled

VenueEtihad Arena

BroadcastFox Nation

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, November 14, 2026 — watch on Fox Nation.

US East (ET): Sat 11:00 AM
US West (PT): Sat 8:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 4:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 5:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 3:00 AM
Your time

Khamzat ChimaevBorz |15-1-0Khamzat Chimaev vs Chris WeidmanChris WeidmanThe All-American |16-8-0

Khamzat ChimaevBorz15-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

15-1-0Record16-8-0

32Age42

6'2"Height6'2"

75" Reach78"

186 lbsWeight185 lbs

Fight cardWeight ClassFight card

Chris WeidmanThe All-American16-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Khamzat Chimaev owns a 123-point Elo edge (great). Khamzat Chimaev shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Khamzat Chimaev and Chris Weidman across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Khamzat ChimaevChris Weidman

Recent form

Khamzat ChimaevL W W W W · +53 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Chris WeidmanL W L L W · -32 Elo last 5

LWLLW

Elo edge

Khamzat Chimaev1828-15 last move

Chris Weidman1705-24 last move

Why they are ranked here

Khamzat Chimaev#3 of 288 active Middleweight fighters · 1828 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jingliang Li (rated 1735 at the time): +30.
Costliest loss: Lost to Sean Strickland (rated 1813 at the time): -15.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +53 Elo in total.
Next places: 8 points behind #2 Michael Page, 4 ahead of #4 Sean Strickland.

Chris Weidman#6 of 91 active Catchweight fighters · 1705 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Bruno Silva (rated 1702 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Eryk Anders (rated 1646 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, -32 Elo in total.
Next places: 5 points behind #5 Husein Kadimagomaev, 0 ahead of #7 Murad Ramazanov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

93%Khamzat Chimaev7%Chris Weidman

Model favoriteKhamzat Chimaev

Elo baseline67% for Khamzat Chimaev

Matchup adjustment+26 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Khamzat ChimaevStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Khamzat Chimaev leads the full model at 93%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 26 points.

Current Elo ratings1828 · 1705Khamzat Chimaev leads by 123 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1751 · 1734Khamzat Chimaev faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth16 · 24 fightsChris Weidman has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesKhamzat Chimaev 3 · 1 Chris WeidmanStrongest available gap: Takedown accuracy toward Chris Weidman.

What's at stake

Khamzat ChimaevNow 1828 · #3 Middleweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1839

Loses by decision-21→ 1807

Chris WeidmanNow 1705 · #6 Catchweight

Wins by decision+21→ 1726

Loses by decision-11→ 1694

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Khamzat ChimaevvsChris Weidman

Takedown accuracy

7%vs42%

Submission average

1.37vs0.82

Takedown average

5.32vs3.27

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.01vs3.11

Finishing profile

Khamzat ChimaevKO/TKO leads 40% of wins

Chris WeidmanKO/TKO leads 38% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Khamzat ChimaevChris Weidman

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.01Sig. strikes landed per min3.11

UFC middleweight average : 4.10

54Sig. strike accuracy45

UFC middleweight average : 48%

2.98Sig. strikes absorbed per min3.37

UFC middleweight average : 3.80

52Sig. strike defense51

UFC middleweight average : 52%

5.32Takedown average3.27

UFC middleweight average : 1.61

7Takedown accuracy42

UFC middleweight average : 29%

88Takedown defense72

UFC middleweight average : 58%

1.37Submission average0.82

UFC middleweight average : 0.68

6Wins by knockout6

6Wins by submission4

3Wins by decision6

0Losses by knockout7

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision1

Khamzat Chimaev vs Chris Weidman is a scheduled Fight card fight on RAF ABU DHABI : CHIMAEV VS WEIDMAN. Khamzat Chimaev enters with a 15-1-0 record and Chris Weidman enters with a 16-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.