Christian Edwards vs Danilo Marques
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record15-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'6"
78"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian EdwardsDanilo Marques
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Edwards68%
Danilo Marques 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Edwards a 68% favorite over Danilo Marques in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1590), separated by just 3 points.
Christian Edwards finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Danilo Marques 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.