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Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Jungwirth vs Max Coga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Max Coga
de

Max Coga

“Mad”

28-8-1LightweightOKMMA

1682Good

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record28-8-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-Reach72"
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Dima's Gym NoerdlingenTeamTeam MMA Spirit· 1651 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Max Coga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Christian Jungwirth carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian JungwirthNow 1580
If they win+15→ 1595
If they lose-9→ 1571
Max CogaNow 1682
If they win+9→ 1691
If they lose-15→ 1667

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Christian JungwirthMax Coga
155016001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (44%)
KO/TKO
11 (39%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (43%)
9 (56%)
Decision
5 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Coga59%
Christian Jungwirth 41%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Coga a 59% favorite over Christian Jungwirth in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Max Coga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1580, a 102-point edge.

Max Coga enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Christian Jungwirth finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Max Coga 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.