Max Coga vs Christian Jungwirth

DateSep 26, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueDeutsche Bank Park

BroadcastOKTAGON PASS

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, September 26, 2026 — watch on OKTAGON PASS.

US East (ET): Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 2:00 AM
Your time

Max CogaMad |27-8-1Max Coga vs Christian JungwirthChristian JungwirthStabil / The Kelt |16-9-0

Max CogaMad27-8-1

Fight Overview

Round3

Time5:00

27-8-1Record16-9-0

37Age39

5'8"Height5'11"

72"Reach-

156 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Christian JungwirthStabil / The Kelt16-9-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Max Coga owns a 83-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Max Coga and Christian Jungwirth across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Max CogaChristian Jungwirth

Recent form

Max CogaW W W W L · +15 Elo last 5

WWWWL

Christian JungwirthW L W L L · -27 Elo last 5

WLWLL

Elo edge

Max Coga1672+8 last move

Christian Jungwirth1589+19 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

64%Max Coga36%Christian Jungwirth

Model favoriteMax Coga

Elo baseline62% for Max Coga

Matchup adjustment+2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Max CogaStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Max Coga leads the full model at 64%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1672 · 1589Max Coga leads by 83 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1520 · 1510Max Coga faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth29 · 25 fightsMax Coga has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Max CogavsChristian Jungwirth

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Max Cogasubmission leads 44% of wins

Christian Jungwirthdecision leads 56% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Max CogaChristian Jungwirth

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.83

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.68

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.49

11Wins by knockout7

12Wins by submission0

4Wins by decision9

3Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission2

5Losses by decision6

Max Coga vs Christian Jungwirth is a scheduled Welterweight fight on OKTAGON 94 : ECKERLIN VS KOZMA. Max Coga enters with a 27-8-1 record and Christian Jungwirth enters with a 16-9-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.