Christian Leroy Duncan vs David Branch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record22-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745
If they win+12→ 1771
If they lose-12→ 1747
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanDavid Branch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan73%
David Branch 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 73% favorite over David Branch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1759), separated by just 2 points.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
David Branch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, David Branch 59%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and David Branch share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.