Christian Leroy Duncan vs Denis Tiuliulin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record10-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Denis Tiuliulin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1775
If they lose-25→ 1743
If they win+25→ 1561
If they lose-7→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanDenis Tiuliulin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan89%
Denis Tiuliulin 11%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 89% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1536, a 232-point edge.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Denis Tiuliulin 90%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Denis Tiuliulin share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.