Christian Leroy Duncan vs Denis Tiuliulin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record10-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamEvolve Gym
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Denis Tiuliulin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1754
If they lose-25→ 1722
If they win+25→ 1562
If they lose-7→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanDenis Tiuliulin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan92%
Denis Tiuliulin 8%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 92% favorite over Denis Tiuliulin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1537, a 210-point edge.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Denis Tiuliulin 90%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Denis Tiuliulin share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.