Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Duško Todorović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamSecutor

What's at stake

Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Christian Leroy DuncanNow 1747
If they win+10→ 1757
If they lose-22→ 1725
Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+22→ 1643
If they lose-10→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
4.73
58%
Strike accuracy
58%
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.40
53%
Strike defense
48%
0.33
Takedown avg.
1.77
17%
Takedown accuracy
21%
63%
Takedown defense
43%
0
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Christian Leroy DuncanDuško Todorović
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (31%)
3 (21%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Leroy Duncan87%
Duško Todorović 13%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 87% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1621, a 126-point edge.

Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Duško Todorović 92%.

Christian Leroy Duncan and Duško Todorović share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.

Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Gregory Rodrigues
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021