Christian Leroy Duncan vs Duško Todorović
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record13-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Duško Todorović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1770
If they lose-23→ 1738
If they win+23→ 1623
If they lose-9→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanDuško Todorović
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan92%
Duško Todorović 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 92% favorite over Duško Todorović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1600, a 161-point edge.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Duško Todorović 92%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Duško Todorović share 1 common opponent: Gregory Rodrigues.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.