Christian Leroy Duncan vs Israel Adesanya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record24-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
79"Reach80"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanIsrael Adesanya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan63%
Israel Adesanya 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 63% favorite over Israel Adesanya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1761), separated by just 0 points.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Israel Adesanya 67%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Israel Adesanya share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.