Christian Leroy Duncan vs Israel Adesanya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-2-0Record24-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
79"Reach80"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1784
If they lose-16→ 1752
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanIsrael Adesanya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Israel Adesanya54%
Christian Leroy Duncan 46%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Israel Adesanya a 54% favorite over Christian Leroy Duncan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Christian Leroy Duncan's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1768 vs 1761), separated by just 7 points.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Israel Adesanya 67%.
Christian Leroy Duncan and Israel Adesanya share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.