Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Leroy Duncan vs Jason Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jason Jackson
jm

Jason Jackson

“The Ass-Kicking Machine”

20-6-0MiddleweightMVP

1755Great

Tale of the tape

15-2-0Record20-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight182 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian Leroy DuncanNow 1761
If they win+16→ 1777
If they lose-16→ 1745
Jason JacksonNow 1755
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
58%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.33
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
63%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Christian Leroy DuncanJason Jackson
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (20%)
4 (27%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Christian Leroy Duncan62%
Jason Jackson 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 62% favorite over Jason Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1761 vs 1755), separated by just 6 points.

Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jason Jackson 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.