Christian Leroy Duncan vs Marco Tulio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record14-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
79"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Marco Tulio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1760
If they lose-19→ 1728
If they win+19→ 1691
If they lose-13→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1648 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanMarco Tulio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan73%
Marco Tulio 27%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 73% favorite over Marco Tulio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1747 to 1672, a 75-point edge.
Christian Leroy Duncan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Marco Tulio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Marco Tulio 79%.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.