Christian Leroy Duncan vs Roman Dolidze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
79"Reach 76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Range Martial Arts AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Christian Leroy Duncan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Roman Dolidze carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1766
If they lose-18→ 1734
If they win+18→ 1725
If they lose-14→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1727 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Christian Leroy DuncanRoman Dolidze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Christian Leroy Duncan63%
Roman Dolidze 37%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Christian Leroy Duncan a 63% favorite over Roman Dolidze in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Christian Leroy Duncan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1752 to 1707, a 45-point edge.
Roman Dolidze enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Christian Leroy Duncan finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.
Christian Leroy Duncan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.