Christian Morecraft vs Gabriel Lourenço
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record7-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamChute Boxe· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Christian MorecraftGabriel Lourenço
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Christian Morecraft and Gabriel Lourenço within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.
Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Christian Morecraft finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Lourenço 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.