Combat Edge Intelligence

Christian Morecraft vs Mario Piazzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record12-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'6"Height5'11"
TBDReach73"
261 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team BombsquadTeamGalpao da Luta· 1691 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Christian MorecraftNow 1638
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
Mario PiazzonNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.82
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
46%
Strike defense
TBD
3.26
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.17
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Christian MorecraftMario Piazzon
16501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (63%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Mario Piazzon72%
Christian Morecraft 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mario Piazzon a 72% favorite over Christian Morecraft in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1640), separated by just 2 points.

Christian Morecraft finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mario Piazzon 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.